Can Tigray Avoid Civil War?

[TLM Editorial Viewpoint]

These are challenging times, and once again, we hear about war. A war of words is fuelling uncertainty and insecurity in Tigray. The conflicts between the TPLF-led forces and the Tigray Peace Force (TPF)—former members of the TDF—are alarming the people of Tigray, who have experienced genocide, hunger, and destruction. The situation remains fragile, with both sides holding their positions and tensions rising. Tigray must avoid civil war, and efforts must be made to facilitate dialogue and reconciliation, which are essential to prevent a full-scale civil war and the devastating consequences for the region and its people.

The TPLF leadership missed an opportunity by not opting for compromise. Is this war really necessary? Absolutely not. All efforts should be directed toward preventing our region from becoming a regional conflict zone. We are the same generation that experienced the destruction caused by Cold War proxy wars. The painful civil war memories of the 1970s-1990s still influence our behaviour. Therefore, let us prioritise caution over risking conflict. Unfortunately, civilians (i.e., those who have little or no say in the matter) are the ones who will endure the full brunt of the war.

Leaders of religious and civic organisations must take an active role in facilitating negotiations to bridge the gap between the warring parties. Only through ongoing dialogue and a commitment to peace and Tigray’s national interests can Tigray hope to prevent the catastrophe of civil war.

By fostering an environment of trust and collaboration, Tigray can set the foundation for mutual understanding, ensuring that the voices of all affected parties are heard and respected. The political parties must recognise the importance of compromise and understanding and resolve their differences peacefully to prevent civil war among Tigrayans. Otherwise, the lack of compromise and misunderstandings could result in the worst outcome for Tigray, with external forces facilitating interference and influence and prolonging the conflict, which could potentially lead to the destruction of Tigray.

By recognising the importance of dialogue, Tigray can set a precedent for conflict resolution that encourages others facing similar issues. Such an approach can create a ripple effect, showing that unity and understanding can overcome division.

Failure to change course will undoubtedly have far-reaching repercussions and will have consequences for the people of Tigray’s aspirations. We may soon be witnessing the formation of extraordinary alliances and other face-saving measures. Compromises will have to be made, and they must be made. The TPLF leadership’s refusal to make concessions has kept the party’s core together. In effect, TPLF leadership has locked itself into a tight corner and is frantically searching for the wrong key.

To prevent such a severe outcome, leaders must engage in open dialogue and seek inclusive solutions that prioritise the peace and well-being of all Tigrayans. Only through unity and a shared vision can Tigray hope to rebuild and recover from the scars of genocidal war. By embracing political dialogue and encouraging participation from all sectors of society, Tigray can emerge stronger and more resilient in the face of future challenges. This collective effort not only fosters trust among diverse stakeholders but also paves the way for sustainable peace and development.

We must prioritise the peace and security of our people and speak out on the serious and complex issues facing Tigray. None of us has the final say on how events will unfold; there are many uncertainties. That is why we should listen to dissenters; however, the TPLF leadership does not grant unlimited power to suppress people’s voices, intimidate, or dismiss opposing views. We must put the people of Tigray’s interests first.